Nov 19, 2012 4:00am EST
we'll get the hsbc flash pmi for november. shares in hong kong faired a bit better. energy plays led the rally on ohio oil prices. elsewhere south korean shares snapped a between day losing streak helped by technology stocks and also ship builders. in us a take i can't, commodity plays lent support to the asx 200. talks of a leverage buyout plan. sensex now trading louisa, back to you. >>> the spanish bad loans according to reuters, now at the 10.7% during the month of september versus 10.5% seen in august. so according to the bank of spain, we're seeing that figure just creeping up just by a tad. now, in the u.s., a slightly grimmer picture. major u.s. indices have fallen by 5% since the election day. this month already stacking up to be the worst november for the dow and the s&p 500, ninth worst november since 1973. so it's been pretty dismal trade if you're an equity holder. hi, charles. we talk about this and we're looking at a bounce in europe this morning. do we think the grimness will continue? >> i think the equity markets, they couldn't really believe bond the election until
Nov 14, 2012 4:00am EST
that inflation forecast of unexpectedly large rise in home energy prices. and annoy saying inflation falling the second half of 2013 and they'll only hit the 2% target in mid 2014. so basically they're going to hit their target almost a year later than they forecast, just three months ago. so in three months, they have pushed out their target of inflation by a year. so what we're seeing now is the sterling gains against the dollar. guilt futures are extending their losses on this report because clearly it suggests they'll be reluctant to do any more qe, let alone the fact they're also questioning its efficacy as well. economic growth to fall back sharply in the fourth quarter. rpi over 3%. the squeeze on real incomes in the uk continues because of this higher inflation profile. they say use of profits from bond purchase to pay government debt the same as 35 billion of qe. that's just to remind you that what's going to happen now is the government is going to take back the interest it's already paid to the bank of england and take it back, which is what they do in japan and the u.s. anyway. >
Nov 19, 2012 9:00am EST
. middle east tensions having an impact on energy markets. let's go to the nimax. >> oil prices with a risk on day in the energy complex today. as you mention tensions in the middle east are a big issue. it's not so much the conflict that we're seeing in israel and gaza but you have the surrounding areas that are oil producers and post-arab spring it's a timber box that people are concerned could be ignited by conflict that we're seeing and there's no sign that conflict is easing up. impact on oil prices reflecting that geopolitical premium and it's winter so we'll see demand increases in the u.s. and china as well. wti up about 2%. same thing that we're seeing in brent. brent prices driving the heating oil and gas price higher. we're seeing a dip this morning in natural gas of course the e geopolitical issue not a big issue there. traders talking about the fiscal cliff this morning hoping to see some sort of a compromise. back over to you. >> thanks for that. if you think planning your black friday will give you an advantage this year, watch out. it turns out people are already starting
Nov 13, 2012 4:00am EST
petrol price and other energy price increases. but to a certain extent as well, the food price increases which we're beginning to see, and likely to see more of reflect changinged food presences, increasing prices for wheat even though spikes in corn and wheat prices that we've seen have been largely due to weather factors. but demands are the pressure, as well. >> for anyone trying to figure out what's going organization how sustainable are the inflation rates and are they not going to fall precipitously as the fee hikes come out. >> there will be, but if you look at the university tuition fees, that will be there for three years. it's not just something that will disappear in 12 months time. and that's an important point because when the bank of england presents it inflation forecast tomorrow, it will have to count those increases in fee as a medium term inflation pressure. they'll be there throughout the entirety of hair projections this time around. and then that has some effect on the policy making decisions. >> is that is t. for the 375, they're done? >> we suspect it probably is.